Summer Box Office Report Card
Back in May, I once again
took a stab at predicting the top ten movies of the summer with their box office totals. I fared much better than last year it pains me how see how close I was to really nailing it. While I was able to predict the top five movies, I botched the order- particularly that number one slot. If only I had listened to myself back in January and hadn't reneged on my
original prediction that
The Dark Knight would be the summer's top grosser! Argh- next time I'll trust my instincts. With the brilliant cast, stellar early reviews and
awesome marketing, that had blockbuster written all over it (though who knew it was a half-
billion dollar blockbuster?).
Looking back, I overestimated the appeal of Wall-E as I should have realized that a bleak, eradication-of-Earth's-population plot would limit the character's lovability (thankfully, Kung Fu Panda filled that void). I also underestimated the Hulk, while overestimating the ability of male-driven comedies to make the top ten. Finally, I can hang my hat on my prediction of the "surprising" success of female-oriented Sex and the City and Mamma Mia! (which wound up #11). Say it with me folks: Counterprogramming works and women do actually like movies!
| Predicted Top 10 | Total | Actual Top 10 | Total |
1 | Indiana Jones 4 | $340M | The Dark Knight | $502M |
2 | Wall-E | $320M | Iron Man | $318M |
3 | Iron Man | $305M | Indiana Jones 4 | $316M |
4 | The Dark Knight | $280M | Hancock | $227M |
5 | Hancock | $260M | Wall-E | $218M |
6 | Sex and the City | $220M | Kung Fu Panda | $214M |
7 | The Chronicles of Narnia | $200M | Sex and the City | $153M |
8 | Mamma Mia! | $150M | The Chronicles of Narnia | $142M |
9 | Get Smart | $140M | The Incredible Hulk | $135M |
10 | You Don’t Mess with the Zohan | $120M | Wanted | $134M |