Well, Since You Asked...

 
Well, Since You Asked...
 

 
My commentary on sports, entertainment, the news and whatever else pops into my shiny bald head.
 
 
   
 
Sunday, September 07, 2008
 
Summer Box Office Report Card

Back in May, I once again took a stab at predicting the top ten movies of the summer with their box office totals. I fared much better than last year it pains me how see how close I was to really nailing it. While I was able to predict the top five movies, I botched the order- particularly that number one slot. If only I had listened to myself back in January and hadn't reneged on my original prediction that The Dark Knight would be the summer's top grosser! Argh- next time I'll trust my instincts. With the brilliant cast, stellar early reviews and awesome marketing, that had blockbuster written all over it (though who knew it was a half-billion dollar blockbuster?).

Looking back, I overestimated the appeal of Wall-E as I should have realized that a bleak, eradication-of-Earth's-population plot would limit the character's lovability (thankfully, Kung Fu Panda filled that void). I also underestimated the Hulk, while overestimating the ability of male-driven comedies to make the top ten. Finally, I can hang my hat on my prediction of the "surprising" success of female-oriented Sex and the City and Mamma Mia! (which wound up #11). Say it with me folks: Counterprogramming works and women do actually like movies!


 

Predicted Top 10

Total

Actual Top 10

Total

1

Indiana Jones 4

$340M

The Dark Knight

$502M

2

Wall-E

$320M

Iron Man

$318M

3

Iron Man

$305M

Indiana Jones 4

$316M

4

The Dark Knight

$280M

Hancock

$227M

5

Hancock

$260M

Wall-E

$218M

6

Sex and the City

$220M

Kung Fu Panda

$214M

7

The Chronicles of Narnia

$200M

Sex and the City

$153M

8

Mamma Mia!

$150M

The Chronicles of Narnia

$142M

9

Get Smart

$140M

The Incredible Hulk

$135M

10

You Don’t Mess with the Zohan

$120M

Wanted

$134M

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